Showing posts with label public health. Show all posts
Showing posts with label public health. Show all posts

Friday, August 5, 2016

Questionable Claims and Obesity Stigma in Breastfeeding Promotion

Image from the Center for Disease Control
It's World Breastfeeding Week ─ time to highlight the importance of breastfeeding! But not in the way this poster is doing.

I'm all for increasing breastfeeding rates. I've attended La Leche League meetings. I nursed my own four children for several years each. I've promoted breastfeeding on my website and my blog. I've helped other women with breastfeeding issues. It's hard to find a more ardent breastfeeding supporter than me.

However, today I'm going to be a heretic and offer up some criticism of breastfeeding advocacy. In particular, I have concerns with people trying to increase breastfeeding rates by promoting its potential for maternal weight loss or obesity prevention in children.

One press release from 2012 shows a typical example of hyperbole from the U.K.:
Breast-feeding may help mothers reduce the risk of obesity later in life, according to a study of 740,000 post-menopausal women in the U.K. 
For every six months women breast-fed, their body mass index was 0.22, or 1 percent, lower, even decades after giving birth, according to the research
A 1 percent reduction in BMI may seem small, but spread across the population of the U.K., that could mean about 10,000 fewer premature deaths per decade from obesity-related conditions, such as diabetes, heart disease and some cancers,” Valerie Beral, co-author of the study and director of the Cancer Epidemiology Unit at the University of Oxford, said in a statement.
Similarly, many breastfeeding advocates try to raise breastfeeding rates by promoting its potential for obesity prevention in children. The United States Breastfeeding Committee, for example, has a huge campaign promoting breastfeeding as the first step to preventing obesity in children (see graphic from the CDC above). 

These two approaches go unquestioned among many breastfeeding advocates, but they are problematic for several reasons.

First, the evidence is not that strong, and second, public health campaigns using breastfeeding to promote obesity prevention are often highly stigmatizing and full of negative stereotypes. In fact, they may alienate some of the very people they want to reach out to.

A Closer Look at the Evidence

Unfortunately, if you really look at the research, evidence for breastfeeding as obesity prevention in either mother or baby is modest at best.

Maternal Effects

Care providers are concerned about the potential for postpartum weight retention to increase a woman's weight long-term. I understand the concern. Long-term retention of pregnancy weight gain can be a factor in obesity for some women.

But although long-term breastfeeding after birth does result in quicker loss of pregnancy weight for some women, the effect tends to be modest in the research, and not all women find breastfeeding is helpful in postpartum weight loss. A few even find that they don't really lose those final pregnancy pounds until after weaning.

A large research review from the USDA's Center for Nutrition Policy and Promotion (Evidence Analysis Library Division) found:
A moderate body of consistent evidence shows that breastfeeding may be associated with maternal post-partum weight loss. However this weight loss is small, transient, and depends on breastfeeding intensity and duration.
Other meta-analyses have found that the relationship between breastfeeding and post-partum weight retention is very complicated, and definitive proof of benefit is difficult to show.

For maternal weight loss, breastfeeding can be helpful for some women, but in large groups, the effect is not particularly strong.  

The 2012 press release quoted above argues that a 1% reduction in BMI across the board could prevent 10,000 deaths per decade. This is highly speculative. A 1% reduction of BMI is very small and its effects would also probably be small. Their conclusion likely inflates the impact by using questionable data on the relationship between weight and mortality. Note they don't defend their statement or back it up with data; they just make broad, sweeping proclamations about the amount of lives it would save. This is the kind of overreach that is typical of these campaigns.

Furthermore, promoting breastfeeding for weight loss can backfire. A 2011 study found:
Belief that breastfeeding could aid postpartum weight loss was initially high, but unrelated to breastfeeding initiation or intensity. Maintenance of this belief over time, however, was associated with lower lactation scores. BMI was negatively correlated with breastfeeding initiation and intensity. Among overweight and obese women, unrealistic expectations regarding the effect of breastfeeding on weight loss may negatively impact breastfeeding duration.
If you promote breastfeeding as THE way to control weight and then that effect doesn't appear, there is likely to be a backlash. Stop creating unrealistic expectations in women and focus on breastfeeding's other benefits to them.

Effects on Offspring Obesity

Some studies do link breastfeeding with lower obesity rates in children later in life, especially in children at higher risk. While I believe this effect is real to some extent, I have real reservations about touting these studies.

There is more than a tinge of fat-phobia and mother-blaming in the media spin on these studies. The implication is that if you would just breastfeed your baby, it's very unlikely he'll be fat. And that just doesn't match the experience of many people.

Anecdotally, many high-BMI women have breastfed children for a year or more and still have children with weights considered "above normal." Unlike what researchers assume, this is not because we are force-feeding our children junk food or letting them play video games all day. Clearly, there are multiple influences on a child's weight, but genetics is one of the strongest. Breastfeeding does not overcome a strong genetic predisposition to obesity.

Yes, there are some studies that suggest that breastfed babies tend to be less heavy on average, but there are so many other confounding variables in these studies that it's hard to draw definitive conclusions. When other variables are controlled for, not all studies show that breastfeeding is protective against obesity.

For example, a recent large study from the Netherlands shows that breastfeeding did not protect against higher body weight. Although the study did the usual hyperventilating about the "dangers" of pediatric obesity, the authors did acknowledge the weaknesses of promoting breastfeeding for obesity prevention. One of the authors stated:
"It's important not to say things like, 'if you breast-feed your baby, he will not become obese.' " 
This is not the only study that found that breastfeeding was not protective against overweight status. A 2007 study found that having been breastfed as a child did not significantly influence women's adult weight status.

In addition, a randomized controlled trial in Belarus aimed to examine whether increasing breastfeeding rates at the population level prevented pediatric obesity. They succeeded in substantially raising the breastfeeding rates, yet this did not translate into reduced childhood obesity rates. The authors concluded:
Breastfeeding has many advantages but population strategies to increase the duration and exclusivity of breastfeeding are unlikely to curb the obesity epidemic.
This study has been criticized because it increased breastfeeding only modestly and mostly short-term. It still had low long-term breastfeeding rates and did not compare fully formula-fed babies with fully breastfed babies. These are legitimate criticisms. It may be that more differences between the groups would become clear with higher rates of extended breastfeeding and more clear delineations between exclusive formula use and exclusive breastfeeding. Yet the fact that little effect was found despite increased rates is troubling. You would think there would have been some impact.

Another unique study attempted to correct for other variables by looking at siblings within the same family who were fed differently. The strength of this study is that by using siblings in the same family, it corrects for education and socio-economic status and other variables which can strongly influence outcomes. Tellingly, it found virtually no difference in adiposity levels between breastfed and formula-fed siblings.

The majority of the research seems to suggest that while breastfeeding might be somewhat protective against obesity, this effect is small, may not last throughout life, and might be less important than other factors. One very pro-breastfeeding review concluded:
From current available data, any effects of breastfeeding on childhood obesity are likely not large, and tend to be most noted when formula feeding is compared with longer durations of breastfeeding.
The research picture on the effect of breastfeeding on obesity rates is far more muddled than clear. We need to be careful about overstating its effects, and we need to be careful about the language we use when we talk about certain benefits. In particular, its promotion for obesity prevention is questionable. A more accurate description is that breastfeeding may lower the risk for obesity. Although even that is not proven, this phrasing is much more defensible.

From my own review of the research, I believe that breastfeeding probably is associated with a modestly reduced risk of obesity on a population-wide basis, but that most of this effect is due to other variables and probably only short-term. Whatever the impact of exclusive breastfeeding on weight is, it's debatable how important that really is for public health.

Since breastfeeding has many other benefits that are quite clear, it seems more logical to be promoting these, rather than touting breastfeeding as a cure-all for obesity. 

Obesity Bias in Research 

Why might breastfeeding lower the risk for obesity at all? No one knows for sure, but even in the speculations obesity bias rears its ugly head.

The reasoning from the experts is filled with fat-phobic assumptions. For example, experts often imply that bottle-fed babies develop "unnaturally large" appetites because of passive intake vs. breastfed babies' self-regulated intake. This plays into the stereotype that fat kids have little self-control and over-consume food.

Or they state that breastfed babies are more likely to be willing to try new foods like fruits and vegetables. This plays into the stereotype that that obese kids don't eat fruits and vegetables. Because everyone knows that fat kids mostly eat junk food, right?

It's hard to separate researchers' fat-phobic stereotyping from plausible biological mechanisms. The best size-neutral guess is that breastfeeding lowers the risk for insulin resistance among children (which may in turn blunt the risk for diabetes and lower the tendency to gain weight), and it may promote a healthier gut microbiome, which in turn might lead to a lower risk for obesity. That seems quite plausible without relying on obesity stereotypes of over-consumption and poor eating habits.

So there could a biological foundation to the argument that breastfeeding might lower the risk for obesity. But prevent obesity completely? Probably not. There are too many other factors at work. It's far too simplistic to say that breastfeeding protects against obesity.

Furthermore, we need to watch the parent-blaming in these studies. For example, a short-term recent study found that longer breastfeeding was more protective in infants at the most risk for obesity, but that the effect wasn't as strong as hoped. An analysis of the study pointed out that maternal smoking and low education levels were also associated with higher weight, and that there was a lack of information about other feeding behaviors. The implication is that breastfeeding is not enough to overcome bad behavior in the parents. The author concludes:
So, does breastfeeding lower the risk of childhood obesity? My conclusion is yes; but only in infants at higher risk for obesity and [who] are breastfed for longer durations. In addition, as obesity is multifactorial, breastfeeding alone is unlikely to entirely prevent it.
Another author, writing about breastfeeding and childhood obesity, concludes:
The overall consensus is that breastfeeding provides protective factors, but can be mitigated by other factors (i.e. maternal health, environmental, SES, etc.) and should not be considered as an independent factor for obesity prevention.
In other words, those ignorant fat parents can overcome the benefits of breastfeeding by providing an unhealthy home environment and being too uneducated to change their own obesity or develop better health habits. Genetics? Total excuse. Any obesity must be the parents' fault, even if they breastfeed.

Yeah. As a fat parent, that sure makes me want to breastfeed.

Public Health Campaign Stigma

Another problem with promoting breastfeeding to prevent obesity is the biased attitudes these campaigns reinforce and the highly stigmatizing images they use.

(Because formula-feeding your baby is like feeding him candy bars.
And heaven knows that all formula-fed babies are fat and all
breastfed babies are skinny, right?)
Here is an image from a doctor's presentation that basically compares formula use with feeding your baby multiple candy bars a week. The apparent result is a chubby-cheeked sumo baby with multiple fat folds. What, no breastfed baby has ever had chubby cheeks and fat dimples?

And if the figure cited at the bottom is true, surely 30,000 more calories would ensure that all formula-fed babies would be fat and all breastfed ones would be thin. Unless perhaps there are other factors at work too? But heaven forbid those be acknowledged.

Even the articles that admit that a breastfed baby can be at the top of the weight charts usually then blame the baby's weight on the mother's nursing too much and suggest restricting nursing or giving a pacifier. Always a child's weight is blamed on over-consumption and restriction is promoted as the answer. Yet the answers are usually far more complex.

Image from article called
"Breastfeeding is the First Defense Against Obesity"
Here is another image from an article about breastfeeding for preventing obesity. The image has since been taken off of the article, but the fact that it was ever on there in the first place says a great deal about the assumptions and biases of the people promoting these campaigns.

Notice how the little boy (wearing too-small clothes) is gleefully surrounded by cake, ice cream, and lots of candy. Articles like this often use troubling images that strongly reinforce stereotypes about obesity and which likely increase obesity stigma and discrimination.

The image used for a blog post about preventing obesity
through breastfeeding, written by a lactation consultant (IBCLC)
Here's another image from a similar article ─ written by an influential professional lactation consultant, no less! Notice the too-small shirt, the hanging belly, and the prominent sweets (not one but TWO ice cream cones). Because you know that all obese children are that way because they are gorging on sweets and stuffing themselves to the max.


Here is an image from an article about a U.S. breastfeeding promotion campaign. It has the image of a breastfeeding woman of size, which is so rare that it should be a positive thing ─ but it's not. How typical that one of the very few images you can find of a woman of size breastfeeding is from a campaign that assumes that the diet of a high-BMI woman couldn't possibly be normal or healthy. The fact that the woman of size is also a woman of color makes it even more stigmatizing.

As a fat mother, I can tell you that these kinds of ads and articles make me want to breastfeed less, not more. In fact, they piss me off no end.

My Experience

In defiance of images like these, I breastfed my four kids for about 2.5 to 4 years each. That's a cumulative total of somewhere around 10 years. So if anyone should have seen a reduction in maternal BMI due to breastfeeding, it should have been me! Yet I didn't. I know many other women of size who also had a similar experience.

But surely all that breastfeeding reduced obesity in my children, right? I did all the "right" things. Not only was each child breastfed for multiple years (not months), I don't smoke, I am highly educated, I had a very small weight gain in pregnancy, we are in a higher socio-economic group, I didn't work outside the home for years, and I didn't introduce solids before 6 months. According to the research, they should be close to average-sized, right?

Nope. My first three children have a BMI near the top of the Class I obesity range, about where I was at their ages. I'm sure that critics will blame me by claiming that an obesogenic environment trumps everything (no doubt believing I force-fed them chocolate-covered french fries), but really, we did a great deal to promote healthy eating and exercise. Their habits were better than many of the children around them, but they were still fat.

On the other hand, my fourth child is skinny as the day is long, despite eating the same food and having the same genetic background as the rest of the kids. She didn't breastfeed longer or exercise more than the others; she simply seems to have benefited from a lucky throw of the genetics dice. She just took after a different branch of the family tree, apparently.

Same parents, same gene pool, same food, same environment, similar basic breastfeeding period ─ yet they have far different outcomes. Sure, that's only one family's experience, but I think it demonstrates that there are no simple answers here. And that's what I object to ─ the simplistic and stigmatizing messages that experts are putting out about breastfeeding and obesity.

Conclusions

Breastfeeding is amazing. So many health benefits come along with breastfeeding! It has a lot of short-term benefits in lowering the risk for illness in young children. It has a lot of long-term benefits in terms of metabolic improvements, lower risk for breast cancer, ovarian cancer, diabetes, heart disease etc. in mothers.

In this country (and many others), far too few babies are breastfed. Even among those whose mothers do nurse, breastfeeding last only a few months, instead of the years it was biologically designed for. The public health implications from such low rates of breastfeeding are perfectly valid topics for discussion.

But when breastfeeding is promoted as a well-intentioned but biased bludgeon to "prevent" obesity, I start getting cranky. I've held my tongue about it for too long. It's time to call out the breastfeeding advocates who distort the science and promote obesity stigma in trying to increase breastfeeding rates.

Look at the following breastfeeding advocacy poster.


Lowering the risk of obesity is the top benefit listed. Really? If there is an effect on obesity, it's quite small. Frankly, other benefits are FAR more important. (At least the poster does use the phrase, "lowers the risk for." That's something. Too many campaigns are using words like "prevent" or "protect from" obesity.)

Let's be clear about what needs to change in breastfeeding advocacy:

  1. Breastfeeding campaigns need to stop overstating the evidence. The research shows that breastfeeding is unlikely to prevent obesity. We can mention that it might lower the risk somewhat, but even then most of the difference is attributable to other variables
  2. We need to de-emphasize weight loss or obesity prevention as motivations in breastfeeding advocacy materials. Focus instead on other benefits that are far more clear and evidence-based
  3. We need to be very careful about the language and images we use to discuss weight and breastfeeding. We need to eliminate the assumptions and stereotyping about obesity in breastfeeding research and drop the stigmatizing images used in breastfeeding campaigns
I'm ALL for promoting breastfeeding, but the truth is that weight is complex. A lot of fat women breastfeed and never lose weight, and a lot of fat women breastfeed for years and still have fat children. There are also plenty of formula-fed children who are thin. Breastfeeding is just not the weight cure-all that authorities want it to be and we need to stop telling people that it is. 

Stop using "obesity prevention" as a way to promote breastfeeding. Focus on the MANY other benefits which are far more clear in the research. And stop playing on societal fears and obesity stigma in breastfeeding advocacy materials. 


Monday, April 1, 2013

Cesarean Rates: Debunking the Mother-Blaming




It's April, Cesarean Awareness Month, so I'll be blogging about several cesarean-related topics this month.

Let's start off with an interesting video from Eugene DeClercq about the rise in cesarean rates. The video was done about data through 2009, so it doesn't have the most recent information in it, but it still has some valuable observations and commentary.

First, look at the cesarean rate graphs above.  Notice the c-section rate in 1970 vs. 2010.  Huge increase.  This is not all bad, as some babies and mothers are undoubtedly saved by cesareans. However, a too-high rate exposes mothers and babies to significant risks, presenting more risks than benefits.  So what we need is to find the right balance.

It's important to notice that the increase in cesareans hasn't been steady. It exploded in the late 70s and early 80s, dipped in the late 80s and early-to-mid 90s when there was pressure to reduce rates, and then steeply increased again until just recently when it leveled off a bit for the first time in years.  This fluctuating rate is important when examining the usual mother-blaming excuses for why the cesarean rate has risen over the years.

DeClercq debunks the usual excuses given by many in the maternity care community for why the cesarean rate has risen so much, including:
  • Women are too old
  • Women are having more twins
  • Babies are getting bigger
  • Women are requesting more cesareans
DeClercq addresses and debunks each of these.

For example, he notes that the trend towards older mothers slowed greatly a while ago, as did the trend towards more twins.....yet the cesarean rate continued to rise strongly afterwards. It wouldn't have done so if these factors were really what was pushing the rise in cesareans.

And in fact, babies are NOT getting bigger.  However, our management of big babies has changed.  As Henci Goer and CNM Amy Romano note in their book, "Optimal Care in Childbirth":
Cesarean rates have increased in all weight categories, the incidence of macrosomia declined from 1990 to 2000, and cesarean rates with macrosomia have soared: U.K. physicians delivered only 3% of babies weighing 4000 g or more via cesarean in 1958, while U.S. obstetricians today may perform cesareans on as many as half the women with babies of this size.  
And most women are NOT requesting elective cesareans.  While there are some women who do want elective primary cesareans, the number of these women is quite small, probably less than 1%.  So this factor can't be blamed for the rising cesarean rate either.

DeClercq also addresses the common defensive reply from some OBs that "There is nothing wrong with a high cesarean rate," because they feel a cesarean is the best way to guarantee a good outcome.  Turns out it's not.  Non-indicated cesareans increases risks for both mothers and babies. What a shock.

DeClercq is a professor at Boston University School of Public Health, and has an MBA and a PhD.  He's not afraid to speak his truths, whatever the audience.  You have to love his Baaawstan accent, but he has a great way of being able to communicate complicated concepts in simple and understandable ways.  I'm a big fan.


I saw him speak at an ICAN conference a few years ago.  I was quite impressed by him. He's a data wonk, but a layperson's data wonk as well as a data wonk's data wonk (if you know what I mean). I like that he can communicate effectively both with the statisticians/medicos and with the general public ─ without dumbing things down.

An Unquestioning Eye Towards Obesity?

That doesn't mean we agree about everything. In that lecture at our ICAN conference, he pointed out the problems with blaming women for the rise in cesarean rates, and debunked everything but obesity.

He noted that many doctors are blaming increasing cesarean rates on the "obesity epidemic." When he looked at the data, he found that high-BMI women do have high cesarean rates and have for a while. So he basically said there might be some truth to obesity being tied to a rise in cesarean rates. Augh!

Yet Goer and Romano point out in their book that, like the trends in older mothers and twin births, the rise in maternal weight leveled off a while ago, yet the cesarean rate kept on rising:
The relationship between maternal weight and cesarean rate cannot be ascertained directly, but the proportion of high-weight women increased from 1991 to 1996 while cesarean rates were falling and held steady from 1999 to 2004 when cesarean rates were once again on the rise.  
This casts doubt on the idea that obesity is to blame for the rise in cesarean rates.

I'd also point out that while it's true that high-BMI women have a high cesarean rate now, he didn't go back far enough into the past.  If you go back far enough, high-BMI women didn't have cesarean rates anywhere nearly as high as now, and often had very similar cesarean rates to average-BMI women.

I think that debunks the idea that obesity itself causes a high cesarean rate, and suggests instead that the highly-interventive way obese pregnancies/labors are now being handled, with more intervention and a lower surgical threshold, has more to do with higher cesarean rates in obese women.

In other words, it's how the management of obese women has changed that has impacted the cesarean rate, rather than obesity itself, and perhaps a more realistic solution than universal weight loss is to change the way those pregnancies are managed instead.  That will help lower the cesarean rate in this group.

In other words, yes, the cesarean rate in fat women is high.....but it probably doesn't have to be that way.  If we change the over-interventive way we manage pregnancy and labor in obese women, then that will lower the c-section rate in them, and in turn may have a modest influence on the overall cesarean rate.

I've written about this many times before on this blog and elsewhere.  Rather than repeat the information here again, I've included links to articles I've written about the idea that obesity causes cesareans and an increase in fat mothers automatically necessitates a high cesarean rate:
  • Supersized Women and Cesareans: A Tale of Two Cities - blog post comparing two recent research studies with similar populations (BMI of 50 and up) but one had twice the cesarean rate of the other. If obesity were an intractable "cause" of cesareans, their cesarean rates should have been similar, but one was much higher, nearly twice the rate of the other. Obviously, management is relevant too
  • News Flash: Labor Managed Differently in High-BMI Women! - blog post discussing a recent study that found that the labors of high-BMI women had more interventions, were intervened in earlier, and had a lower threshold for surgery.  When interventions were controlled for, the difference in cesarean rate was far smaller.  In other words, it's not just about women's obesity, it's also about the way our labors are over-intervened in and the fear level among some providers
  • The Fat Vagina Theory: "Soft Tissue Dystocia" - blog post debunking one of the most common reasons given for a higher cesarean rate in obese women, Soft Tissue Dystocia (adipose tissue crowding the vagina and not letting a baby pass)
  • Ghettoizing Fat Pregnant Women - blog post decrying the new trend to limit fat women's choices in birthplace, care provider, and birth options, solely by BMI
  • Scapegoating Fat Women Once Again - blog post debunking yet another media press release blaming fat women for the rise in cesarean rates and calling for a more nuanced (and less mother-blaming) approach
  • Women of Size and Cesarean Sections: Tips for Avoiding Unnecessary Surgery - article for the Our Bodies, Ourselves website, with practical ways that women of size can lower their risk for a cesarean and increase their chances of a VBAC
  • Avoiding Surgery: Lowering the Cesarean Rate in Big Moms - article I wrote for a healthcare consumers e-zine about lowering your risk for a cesarean
Finally, for care providers reading this blog, I'd suggest reading the series I wrote on the Science and Sensibility blog last year. While acknowledging the potential risks of obesity and pregnancy, it also suggests rethinking the paradigm with which most care providers approach obese pregnant women.
Science and Sensibility: Rethinking the Obesity Paradigm: An Insider's View
Declercq is right that cesarean rates are elevated in high-BMI women, but they don't have to be.  It's not a causal relationship. And it's not what drove the rise in cesarean rates in recent years.  I wish he would acknowledge that, and the fact that cesarean rates in this group can be reduced.

If the desired end is improved outcomes for women of size and their babies, then we need to consider all possible management options for them, not just the highly-interventive management style currently used for them, and individualize our approach based on the actual needs of the woman.  

Yes, some obese women will have complications and require more interventive care, but many will not, and we do considerable harm (via very high cesarean rates, risky inductions, and more iatrogenic premature births) when we force highly-interventive management on all obese women, as the trend towards "bariatric obstetrics" does.

Save the high-intervention management for those cases that truly need it; utilize the low-tech tools that work well to lower cesarean rates in other groups (fewer early inductions, more quality labor support, more attention to fetal position and fetal re-positioning techniques, more patience in labor, fewer automatic repeat cesareans, etc.). In that way we can likely bring down the cesarean rate in women of size too.

Care providers (and public health advocates) must stop shrugging their shoulders and writing off women of size as a lost cause in the cesarean department.  A high cesarean rate is NOT endemic to obesity if we change our management of it, our fear of it, and our nearly-automatic reach for the scalpel when a fat pregnant women walks into the hospital.
Final Thoughts

Many care providers have excused the rising cesarean rate by blaming mothers.  According to them, women are too old, too fat, gain too much weight in pregnancy, have huge babies, have too many multiple births, or are requesting all these cesareans.

No, these factors are not entirely irrelevant, but by and large they are NOT responsible for the tremendous rise in cesarean rates in recent years.  As Goer and Romano note:
U.S. cesarean rates have increased sharply at every maternal age, in every ethnic group, and for every demographic or medical risk factor.
This is not a matter of a rising tide of high-risk mothers driving up the cesarean rate, but rather a deep and increasing trend towards more intervention (and a lower surgical threshold) in ALL groups.

By blaming mothers, caregivers avoid taking responsibility for their own actions which have pushed up the cesarean rate. 

The induction and "pushed birth" epidemic, the over-intervention in normal labors, the lack of support for vaginal breech birth, the virtual abandonment of VBAC, the loss of skills in manually turning poorly-positioned babies, the lack of patience during labor, the increasingly narrow definition of "normal," and the lowering of surgical thresholds have all been caregiver-driven reasons for the rise in the cesarean rate.

Eugene DeClerq has been one of the leading voices pointing out the flaws in blaming mothers for the rising cesarean rate, and bravo to him for doing so.  We need MORE respected voices speaking up and pushing back against the mother-blaming culture of many maternity care providers.

Unfortunately, the one finger-pointing he doesn't seem to question is obesity.  I wish he would apply the same questioning eye to the historical data on cesareans in obese women that he does to other possible "causes."  I'm tired of obesity-blaming getting a free ride (no questions asked!) from even the best public health advocates.

However, I'm pleased to report that a few researchers and childbirth advocates (like Goer and Romano) are beginning to push back on this issue.  Let's hope this is the start of a new trend.

Even though Eugene and I don't see completely eye-to-eye about this one issue, I still find much to admire in his writings and his research analysis.  He has a lot of valuable things to say about cesarean rates and birth in general, he says it in a very understandable way, and we need to listen carefully to it.

Now if we can only get him to dig a little deeper on the obesity question....


References

Pediatrics. 2003 May;111(5 Pt 2):1181-5. Contribution of excess weight gain during pregnancy and macrosomia to the cesarean delivery rate, 1990-2000. Rhodes JC, Schoendorf KC, Parker JD.  PMID: 12728135
OBJECTIVE: After declining for many years, cesarean delivery rates recently increased. To explore whether this increase is associated with excess weight gain during pregnancy, resulting in macrosomic infants who require cesarean delivery, we examined trends in excess weight gain, macrosomia, and cesarean delivery...CONCLUSIONS: Excess weight gain and macrosomia do not seem to be the primary factors that contribute to the recent increase in cesarean delivery because cesarean delivery rates have increased in all weight gain categories and macrosomia rates have decreased steadily from 1990-2000. Nonetheless, women who gain excess weight account for a growing proportion of cesarean deliveries because their relative numbers have grown.
Am J Public Health. 2006 May;96(5):867-72. Epub 2006 Mar 29. Maternal risk profiles and the primary cesarean rate in the United States, 1991-2002. Declercq E, Menacker F, Macdorman M. PMID: 16571712
OBJECTIVES: We examined factors contributing to shifts in primary cesarean rates in the United States between 1991 and 2002. METHODS: US national birth certificate data were used to assess changes in primary cesarean rates stratified according to maternal age, parity, and race/ethnicity. Trends in the occurrence of medical risk factors or complications of labor or delivery listed on birth certificates and the corresponding primary cesarean rates for such conditions were examined. RESULTS: More than half (53%) of the recent increase in overall cesarean rates resulted from rising primary cesarean rates. There was a steady decrease in the primary cesarean rate from 1991 to 1996, followed by a rapid increase from 1996 to 2002. In 2002, more than one fourth of first-time mothers delivered their infants via cesarean. Changing primary cesarean rates were not related to general shifts in mothers' medical risk profiles. However, rates for virtually every condition listed on birth certificates shifted in the same pattern as with the overall rates. CONCLUSIONS: Our results showed that shifts in primary cesarean rates during the study period were not related to shifts in maternal risk profiles.
J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med. 2013 Apr;26(6):547-51. doi: 10.3109/14767058.2012.745506. Epub 2012 Nov 28. Cesarean delivery in obese women: a comprehensive review. Wispelwey BP, Sheiner E.  PMID: 23130683
BACKGROUND: Obesity (BMI ≥30) is a significant independent risk factor for many gestational complications, including cesarean delivery (CD). While CD rates are increasing in women of every BMI, the trend is more pronounced as maternal weight increases. OBJECTIVE: This review seeks to describe the risk modulators that explain the high prevalence of CD in obese women, as well as to discuss the excess complications of the procedure in this group of parturients. In assessing the rationale for the procedure and weighing this against the excess risks involved, a clearer indication of when to perform CD in obese women might be developed. RESULTS: A thorough review of the literature indicates that a decreased cervical dilation rate, an increased induction rate, the presence of comorbid conditions, concern about shoulder dystocia, and weight gain in excess of recommendations during pregnancy all may contribute to the high rate of CD in obese women. Obese women are at increased risk of CD-related complications including anesthetic complications, wound complications, venous thromboembolism (VTE), and failure of vaginal birth after CD. CONCLUSIONS: Given the excess risks associated with CD in obese women, and that some of the rationale for the procedure (e.g. slower labor, concern about shoulder dystocia) may not be justified based on current evidence, a reassessment of the threshold at which obese women are recommended for CD is necessary.
J Obstet Gynaecol Can. 2011 May;33(5):443-8. Higher caesarean section rates in women with higher body mass index: are we managing labour differently? Abenhaim HA, Benjamin A. PMID: 21639963
BACKGROUND: Higher body mass index has been associated with an increased risk of Caesarean section. The effect of differences in labour management on this association has not yet been evaluated. METHODS: We conducted a cohort study using data from the McGill Obstetrics and Neonatal Database for deliveries taking place during a 10-year period. Women's BMI at delivery was categorized as normal (20 to 24.9), overweight (25 to 29.9), obese (30 to 39.9), or morbidly obese (≥ 40). We evaluated the effect of the management of labour on the need for Caesarean section using unconditional logistic regression models. RESULTS: Data were available for 11 922 women, of whom 2289 women had normal weight, 5663 were overweight, 3730 were obese, and 240 were morbidly obese. After adjustment for known confounding variables, increased BMI category was associated with an overall increase in the use of oxytocin and in the use of epidural analgesia, and with a decrease in use of forceps and vacuum extraction among second stage deliveries. Higher BMI was also found to be associated with earlier decisions to perform a Caesarean section in the second stage of labour. When adjusted for these differences in the management of labour, the increasing rate of Caesarean section observed with increasing BMI category was markedly attenuated (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Women with an increased BMI are managed differently in labour than women of normal weight. This difference in management in part explains the increased rate of Caesarean section observed with higher BMI.

Sunday, February 24, 2013

Politics and Weight: Risk Hyperbole

NJ Governor Chris Christie
The recent nonsense over whether Governor Chris Christie should be elected President "at his weight" is yet another example of size profiling (making medical judgments about a person's health and habits based only on weight) and the ridiculous risk hyperbole around obesity.

The blog, First Do No Harm, highlighted this, as have Paul Campos and others.

For those who have been in a vacuum, here's what happened.  Dr. Connie Mariano, former White House physician, made the following comments about Chris Christie on CNN:
“I like Chris Christie a lot, I want him to run, I just want him to lose weight.” 
“I’m a physician more than a Democrat or a Republican, and I worry about this man dying in office. I worry that he may have a heart attack, he may have a stroke…it’s almost like a time bomb waiting to happen unless he addresses those issues before he runs for office.”
This is the metaphor doctors love when size-profiling fat people..."a time bomb waiting to happen."  As if we are walking corpses, waiting to keel over at any second at the least stress or difficulty.

It's that kind of nonsensical hyperbole around the risks of fatness that cause so much of the weight stigmatization and weight discrimination today. Yes, there are risks associated with having a high BMI, but these risks get inflated in people's minds until they think of us as about to stroke out and die at any second.

Like the countries who won't let fat folks adopt children because they think fat people won't live long enough to raise the children.  Or fat women being pressured to abort their babies because "it's just too dangerous" to carry a baby at their weight.  Or fat women being told that they will no doubt have a heart attack and die during labor.

Christie responded:
“You know, I find it fascinating that a doctor in Arizona who’s never met me, never examined me, never reviewed my medical history or records, knows nothing about my family history, could make a medical diagnosis from 2,400 miles away. She must be a genius. She should probably be the Surgeon General of the United States, I suspect, because she must be a genius. I think this is just another hack who wants 5 minutes on TV.” 
“And it’s completely irresponsible. Completely irresponsible. My children saw that last night. And she sat there on TV and said ‘I’m afraid he’s going to die in office.’ I have four children between 9 and 19. And my 12 year old son comes in last night and says, ‘Dad are you going to die?’ This is irresponsible stuff. And people who have a medical license, who have the privilege of having a medical license, should in my view conduct themselves more responsibly than that. If she wants to get on a plane to come here to New Jersey, and ask me if she wants to examine me and review my medical history, I’ll have a conversation with her about that. But until that time she should shut up.”
Bravo to Christie for fighting back, but this doctor is far from the only person questioning whether his weight should keep him from being president. Barbara Walters also asked it, and so have quite a few others.  And many others are thinking it, even as some rush to declare that no, it's not an automatic disqualifier.

So let's take a look at the question.  Is a fat man in his 50s a walking time bomb?  Is he going to keel over at any moment if he works at a stressful job?  Should weight be considered more strongly than other risk factors?

Risk Factors Viewed Unequally

It is fair to ask whether a candidate's medical history might impact their ability to do the job. However, not all risk factors seem to be considered equally when the press ask this question. The fact that weight is more of a concern for them than many other risk factors just shows the distorted sense of risk we have developed around weight.

One of those distorted risks is the prediction that a fat person is going to keel over dead at any moment.  Yet the First Do No Harm article pointed out that "a 50 year old 'morbidly obese' man with no comorbidities...who doesn't drink or smoke, and is reasonably fit is fairly unlikely to die before 62, the age Christie would be when he leaves office if he runs and wins in 2016."

Paul Campos points out that the weight critics are ignoring the fact that age is a far more potent risk factor for death in office than weight, yet we routinely consider electing older politicians to office:
In January of 2017 Christie will be 54, while the current Democratic frontrunner for her party’s presidential nomination, Hillary Clinton, will be 69. It is true that, compared to “normal weight” people such as Clinton, very obese people like Christie have, all other things being equal, an elevated mortality risk. Specifically, the most recent, detailed, and sophisticated study of the question, published last month in the Journal of the American Medical Association, found that people as heavy as Christie have a 29% increase in mortality risk, compared to otherwise similar people of normal weight. 
Now 29% may sound like a significant elevation in risk, but let’s compare it to another factor — one which has a vastly more powerful effect than body weight: age. 
All other things being equal, government actuarial tables reveal that the odds that a 69-year-old woman will die between January of 2017 and January of 2021 are 115% higher than the odds a 54-year-old man will die during that four-year time period. In other words, age poses almost exactly four times greater a mortality risk to Hillary Clinton than weight does to Chris Christie, in regard to the chances that either would die during their first presidential term.
So older age is a stronger risk factor in the next election's potential candidates than weight, yet weight is the one getting the attention. That says a lot about the media spin put on obesity.

What about other risk factors?  How much attention do those get?

Others have pointed out that President Obama smoked until recently, and that is a very significant risk factor for heart disease and stroke.  Some people gave him a hard time about the smoking, but for the most part that risk factor was overlooked.

John McCain had a history of skin cancer when he ran for president.  He also would have been one of the oldest presidents, had he been elected.  Although these issues were raised in the campaign, the public did not seem to see his age or his prior cancer as serious considerations and he came close to winning.

John Kerry had a history of prostate cancer when he ran for president.  So did Bob Dole, who was another one of our oldest candidates.  Again, although mentioned occasionally, the issue of their prior cancer seemed to gather little attention during the campaigns.

Pre-existing health conditions, history of potentially life-threatening disease, and smoking are certainly legitimate risk factors, but the fact that weight gets far more focus as a risk factor is more a reflection of our risk hyperbole around obesity than anything else.

What about the pressures of the office on someone with a significant medical risk factor or condition?

John F. Kennedy is a president who took office with significant health issues, although these were not made known until after he died.  He suffered from Addison's Disease and was under major medical treatment while in office, yet somehow managed to deal with the pressures of the office.

Lyndon Johnson was a former heavy smoker who had had a major heart attack several years before being elected vice-president in 1961.  He became president in 1963 when Kennedy was assassinated. He survived eight years as vice-president and president during extremely turbulent, war-filled, and stressful times.

And don't forget that Dick Cheney, a man with a history of already having had THREE heart attacks (plus a coronary artery bypass operation) was elected to the VP office in 2000, a heartbeat away from president. He then had another heart attack, a stent placed, angioplasty, and placement of a defibrillator, and people still elected him to a second term as VP in 2004. He managed to survive eight years of being one of the most involved vice-presidents ever, during years of terrorism and wars, despite an extremely extensive history of heart troubles.

Yes, it's incredibly stressful to be President or Vice-President, but by no means is it a death sentence, even for those with serious pre-existing conditions.

As for a fat person's ability to handle stress, don't forget that Christie has been the governor of New Jersey for quite a while ─ a position hardly free of stress ─ and has done fine so far.  As he himself pointed out, during Hurricane Sandy and its recovery efforts he was putting in incredibly long hours and was under enormous stress.  Yet he did fine.  Although no one has a crystal ball, likely he would be fine while president too.

A History of Fat Presidents

Grover Cleveland,
22nd and 24th President
Of course, Dr. Mariano completely ignores that there already HAVE been fat presidents and they didn't die in office.

If fat folks were really that much of a walking time bomb, shouldn't we have seen those fat presidents keel over right and left?

So the question becomes, who have been our fat presidents, what were their BMIs, and how did they fare in office?

Well, it's not easy to find a reliable source of presidential BMIs (and even more difficult to verify them), so you have to apply some caveats to these numbers. And Presidents' weights may have fluctuated while in office, so the BMIs reported below may have varied, higher or lower, over time. But here's what one source gives for presidential BMIs.

According to this source, our "overweight" (BMI 25-30) presidents have been:
  • Dwight Eisenhower (BMI of 25.3)
  • George Washington (25.5)
  • James Monroe (25.6)
  • Gerald Ford (25.7)
  • George W. Bush (25.9)
  • Lyndon Johnson (26.0)
  • Rutherford B. Hayes (26.0)
  • Harry Truman (26.3)
  • James Polk (26.4)
  • James Buchanan (26.9)
  • John Quincy Adams (27.2)
  • Herbert Hoover (27.7) 
  • Bill Clinton (28.3)
  • Chester Arthur (28.7)
That's fourteen presidents who were officially in what we now call the "overweight" BMI category.  Guess it wasn't all that uncommon for people to be "overweight" even in the good old days, eh? And really, this list goes to show just how silly the BMI cutoffs are, as many people would not have guessed that some of the above presidents were in the "overweight" category at all.

There are fewer "obese" (BMI 30+) presidents, it's true. Certainly, weight prejudice and looks bias played a role in politics, even in the old days, so you have to wonder whether Chris Christie's chances of being elected will be influenced by his weight ─ not so much because of his health, but because of people's biases about his weight and his looks.

However, it's too strong for Dr. Mariano to suggest that the stresses of the presidency would almost surely kill a fat person. If that were true, most of these fat presidents should have died in office:
  • Teddy Roosevelt (BMI of 30.2)
  • Zachary Taylor (30.2)
  • William McKinley (31.1)
  • Grover Cleveland (34.6)
  • William Howard Taft (42.3)
Okay, William McKinley died in office, but he was assassinated, so no relationship to his weight.  Oh, and he was assassinated in his second term, so he lived through his first term just fine.

Zachary Taylor died in office, but the cause was a severe case of gastroenteritis.  This could have come from food poisoning, cholera, a bad virus, or a bacterial infection. Again, it was not related to weight.

What about the others, you ask?

President Theodore Roosevelt and family, 1903
Teddy Roosevelt succeeded to the presidency after McKinley was assassinated.  He had a long prior history of childhood ailments (including heart issues and asthma) and malaria from his time in Cuba, but was a vigorous devotee of exercise. He thrived during nearly 8 years of the presidency, and ran for the presidency again several years later. He lost only because he split the votes from the Republicans by running on a third-party ticket.

Roosevelt was known for his high energy and voracious intelligence and is regarded by many as one of the best presidents of all time. He was rough and tough; he was shot by a would-be assassin in his third election, but went on to deliver his speech anyhow. He did die relatively young after his presidency (age 60, heart attack), but this was likely brought on by complications from the previous malaria and an extremely serious infection he had acquired on a South American trip.

Grover Cleveland, our second fattest president, was elected twice. He is the only president who was elected to two non-consecutive terms. He won in 1884, won the popular vote but narrowly lost the electoral vote in 1888, and re-won the presidency fully in 1892.

Cleveland served during a stressful time of significant labor unrest and a serious economic depression. Despite this, he survived two terms as president, with four years in between. Hardly the ticking time bomb Dr. Mariano predicts.

William Howard Taft,
Official White House Portrait
Of course, our fattest president was William Howard Taft (BMI of 42.3). Reports differ on his exact weight, but it was over 300 lbs. during his presidency.  He was a big yo-yoer and his weight went up while president, so I would guess that his BMI well exceeded 42.3 during his presidency.  Yet he survived his term just fine and lived for many years afterwards.

I'm sure a troll would point out that Taft supposedly got stuck in the bathtub at the White House, a story repeated again and again as if true, although its veracity is questionable. It's likely an urban legend, one of those stories people want to be true to confirm their own biases and so keep repeating, regardless of any actual truth to the story.

It is true that Taft had some health issues while in office, in particular high blood pressure and severe sleep apnea, neither of which had effective medical treatments then.  And there is no doubt that Taft fell into the Class III "morbidly obese" category ─ yet he somehow managed to survive four years of presidency.

Also note that Taft had been U.S. Solicitor General, Governor General of the Philippines, and Secretary of War before he became President, and he went on to become Chief Justice of the Supreme Court a few years after his presidency, a position he held for nine years. None of these were low-stress positions, yet somehow he managed to survive many years of this high stress, all while morbidly obese with health issues.

In fact, our two fattest presidents both had good life spans, especially considering the time period in which they lived.  Grover Cleveland died at 71, and William Howard Taft died at 72. They hardly keeled over at an early age from their weight.

It's also worth noting that Taft likely would have won a second term, except that Teddy Roosevelt ran against him, splitting the votes of his party and making it possible for Democrat Woodrow Wilson to win instead.  Notice that it was Wilson, with a "healthy" BMI of 23, who was the one who had a series of strokes while in the White House, not Taft with a BMI that was almost twice as high. Obviously, BMI is not necessarily a good indicator of health.

None of this predicts how Chris Christie would do, of course. His health may well be different than these men; in fact, one concern for him would be his frequent yo-yo dieting rather than just his BMI alone. He also has asthma to consider. But the point is that BMI is not a good surrogate for health, and that several fat folks have survived the presidency just fine.

But Would We Elect a Fat Person?

The question now is not whether we can elect a fat person president.  Obviously, we can and we have in the past. The question is whether we would elect a significantly fat person president in this age of obesity risk hyperbole and weight stigma.

In one major news magazine poll, the majority of responders felt that Christie's weight should be a major issue.  The comments showed that many people still equate fatness with laziness, a weak character, low self-esteem, a lack of control, and "time bomb" health status.

For example, here are some comments (trigger warning: insert major Sanity Watchers' points!) from readers of one article about whether a fat man could get elected president:
  • Fatness is gluttony. The last thing we need right now or even in the future is a person who cannot control their appetite controlling our government spending!
  • ...The question that is important is "Why is that person over weight?" Is it a symptom of something like lack of self control, low sense self worth, or just plain laziness? Those are questions that shouldn't be ignored for fear of upsetting the gods of political correctness for these questions can tell us a lot about what kind of person we're dealing with when the cameras are off.
  • ...People perceive fat people as lazy and unmotivated. People will think that a fat president can't take care of his body. If they can't take care of their body then how are they going to be able to handle taking care of the country? 
  • A person who does not have the self control to lose weight would not be my choice for President. The President must be health conscious in order to set a good example for our already overweight populace, especially our young people.
  • The stress of the job of being President is overwhelming in itself. Add obesity to this equation and the job becomes almost physically impossible, and a massive liability to our nation.
  • It is not really a question of fat or not fat, it is a question of what the media will push as a perception of body mass as a symbol for the politics and policies of the candidate. I, for one, will get tired very quickly of the fat jokes that will flood the airwaves once a corpulent candidate is nominated. 
Sadly, I despair whether a fat person could ever get elected in this modern media age.  The Health Police are too unrelenting in their condemnation to let it go, as evidenced by Dr. Mariano lecturing Chris Christie, who isn't even a candidate yet for an election that is still four years away.  

This is one of the outcomes of public health campaigns about obesity; they reinforce all the old stereotypes about obese people...as if the ONLY way you can be fat is if you are an out-of-control glutton, as if all fat people are lazy and unmotivated, as if obesity is always the result of low self-esteem and emotional eating as compensation, as if all you have to do to lose weight and keep it off is to put down the fork and go for a little walk.   

Sigh. No matter how many times you say that it's more complicated than that, people won't believe you, largely because they want to believe that it's your fault, that weight is completely within one's own control if you just try hard enough. They need to believe that if they personally are not fat, it is because they are virtuous and in control of their eating, not because they lucked out in the genetics department.  

The one encouraging thing in all of this is that there is some sympathetic backlash to some of these weight-related attacks on Christie. When his opponent tried to use Christie's weight against him in the last New Jersey governor's election, Christie was able to spin that against the opponent, and the opponent's weight jabs actually worked against him. And a lot of people now feel sorry for Christie after Dr. Mariano's insensitive comments.  

However, this sympathy will only last so long.  The moment that Christie does something unpopular, out will come the unrelenting fat jokes.  Out will come the editorial cartoons lampooning his weight, or using his size as a negative metaphor in a political cartoon.  Yes, Christie has been able to turn some of these jokes to his favor by making his own fat jokes about himself first (see the recent Letterman show), but this only goes so far.  If he decides to campaign for president, the mean-spirited fat jokes will start flying fast and furious, and the sympathetic bounce will quickly disappear.  

Yes, there were other fat candidates this last election, but if they had gotten very far in the polls, you know their size would have been used against them sooner or later, and you know that the fat jokes would have been everywhere.  

And we can only imagine what the reaction would have been if the candidates had been fat women. You can bet that Hillary Clinton, Michele Bachmann, Sarah Palin, Elizabeth Warren, or any other potential female candidate would never have gotten very far if they had been fat.  And of the political women who have been speculated about as presidential candidates in 2016, you'll notice that not one is fat.

If the world is ambivalent about a fat male politician, it's even less welcoming to the thought of a fat female politician.  And that's even more frustrating.

Final Thoughts

Yes, it's legitimate up to a point to raise questions about a candidate's health when they are running for office, but these health concerns have to be put into perspective.

Pre-existing medical conditions are a potential concern, but history has shown that many presidents with health conditions have done just fine in office. Just how strongly a pre-existing condition has to be considered will depend on the condition.

But history has also clearly shown that fatness alone doesn't mean you're going to keel over from the pressures of the office.  We've had fat presidents before, even very fat presidents, and they've been fine.  It's time to do away with this whole "too fat for a stressful job" idea.

While we can look closely at a candidate's health, we have to ask ourselves hard questions about our own biases when doing so.  It's very telling that in all of these media discussions, other risk factors like age, smoking, and prior significant medical conditions were considered a relatively minor concern and largely overlooked. In contrast, Christie's weight is considered a major concern by many.

Why does weight get such disproportionate attention as a risk factor? Frankly, it's more a reflection of obesity hyperbole than it is the reality of imminent risk. 

The Health Police see a fat candidate as yet another chance to beat the drum about the dangers of obeeeeesity in order to scare people into radical weight loss. The fact that some voters take this so seriously that they would automatically discard a politician only because of weight is yet another demonstration of the danger of these well-meaning but misguided public health campaigns.

I say, vote for a candidate or not based on your opinion of his/her politics and leave weight out of the picture.  If Chris Christie decides to run for president next time, then ask him pertinent questions about his health, just as all candidates should be asked those same questions.  But don't jump to conclusions about his health or what that will mean for his job based on the scale alone, don't make assumptions about his habits or his medical future based only on his weight, and stop throwing around the "time bomb" metaphor.  That is just risk hyperbole, nothing more, and it's just plain irresponsible and unfair.

*Post-Script:  Comments are welcome, but this is not the place for political debates or slurs on opposition candidates, whatever your political persuasion. Inappropriate or unkind comments about politics or weight etc. will not be published. Keep any discussion polite and limited to the intersection of weight and politics, please.

Monday, April 4, 2011

A Peek Into The Future?

Here's an interesting little study with possibly big implications for the future. I haven't seen the full text yet, just the abstract, but I hope the study will generate some dialogue in the birth community during this Cesarean Awareness Month.

For years, birth activists have been decrying the increasing cesarean rate, while some doctors shrugged off the increase as unimportant. "A healthy baby is all that matters, and it doesn't matter how it gets here," is the refrain.

Yes, a healthy baby is always everyone's priority, but a healthy mama should be important too.  And generally speaking, a mama recovering from surgery is less healthy than a mama recovering from vaginal birth. And it's not just about the actual surgical recovery but also about the long-term complications that may ensue. As a result, more and more research is finding that a high cesarean rate has major public health implications.

This study uses computer modeling to predict just how high our cesarean rate may go in the future and what the implications will be for women's health. It predicts that the U.S. cesarean rate could top 55% by the year 2020 (which is not that far away!).

Now, I saw that and thought.....55% by 2020?  Really? The national rate is nearly 33% as of 2009, and they expect an increase of 20% more in just 11 years?  Seems like the prediction is a little excessive to me.  On the other hand, some hospitals in some areas of the country are already there.  If enough of them develop these outrageously excessive rates, who knows?

Currently, the cesarean rate is at or near 40% in some states. In the Miami area, the rate is around 50% already.  Twenty-four hospitals in California have rates between 40-50%, and five hospitals in California have rates already over 50%. At Kendall Regional Medical Center in Miami and in Corona Regional Medical Center in California, the cesarean rate is more than 70%.  What are the long-term implications for women in these areas?

It's very clear from research that cesareans increase the risk for placental complications in future pregnancies.  Conditions like placenta previa (a low-lying placenta, which can cause severe bleeding, prematurity, and death) and placenta accreta (where the placenta grows into the muscle of the uterus and sometimes even into the bladder or other structures near the uterus, which can cause catastrophic bleeding, hysterectomy, and death) will only increase as the cesarean rate goes up. 

We are already seeing increases in the rates of placenta previa and accreta due in large part to the rise in the cesarean rates. And rates seem to have a dose-response relationship ─ the more cesareans, the higher the risk for previa or accreta. 

For example, Clark (1985) found  that the risk of previa "increased almost linearly with the number of prior cesarean sections." They tracked the rates of previa by number of prior cesareans and found:
  • 0.26% rate in an unscarred uterus
  • 0.65% after one prior cesarean
  • 1.8% after two prior cesareans
  • 3.0% after three prior cesareans
  • 10.0% after four, five, or six prior cesareans
Silver 2006 tracked the rates of accreta by number of prior cesareans and found:
  • Placenta Accreta with second cesarean - 0.31%
  • Placenta Accreta with third cesarean -     0.57%
  • Placenta Accreta with fourth cesarean -   2.13%
  • Placenta Accreta with fifth cesarean -      2.33%
  • Placenta Accreta with sixth or more cs-   6.74%
The only reason we do not already have an epidemic of these complications is because most women have smaller family sizes now. The more cesareans a woman has, the more likely things like previa become. So the smaller family sizes of today has been somewhat protective...but is not enough.

Women who are having "only" their second or third cesarean are not safe from complications. Even just one cesarean increases your risk for placenta previa or abruption (tearing away of the placenta, which can kill the baby) next time.  Getahun (2006) found that the risk for previa in a second pregnancy after a first-pregnancy vaginal birth was 0.38%, but the risk was 0.63% if the first birth was by cesarean.  A similar increase in the risk for placental abruption was seen; there was a risk of 0.74% after a vaginal first birth, which increased to a risk of 0.95% after a cesarean first birth.

Although rarer in low-order cesareans, major complications can occur even after only 1 or 2 cesareans.  Fleisch 2007 is a case report of a 30-year-old woman, pregnant with her second child after one cesarean 2 years previously.  At only 20 weeks of pregnancy, she experienced a uterine rupture because of placenta percreta (an accreta that's grown into surrounding structures).  She lost her baby and her uterus.  She was lucky not to lose her life.  And there are other case reports similar to that one, too.

And although maternal death is a very rare outcome of cesareans, if you do enough cesareans, more women are going to die, as the study suggests.  Cesareans increase the rate of blood clots, which can be deadly, and hemorrhaging, which can be life-threatening if they can't stop it.  Anesthesia accidents, although very rare, do happen.  Do enough anesthesia, and even the less-risky regional anesthesia (epidural/spinal) cesareans will eventually cause some deaths.

And these are only the most serious of complications.  How many women will suffer the less lethal yet still serious complications?  Hysterectomy rates also increase significantly with each cesarean.  Infection is always a potential issue after any surgery, and especially so for women of size.  Internal scar tissue is extremely common after abdominal surgery, and it can cause great pain for some women, and even bowel and bladder complications years later.  Small bits of uterine lining can inadvertently be deposited outside the uterus and cause aggravating and painful endometriosis. The rate of tubal pregnancies and pregnancies in the scar goes up.  Fertility after a cesarean may decrease too. 

Of course, it's important not to panic. On an individual basis, the increase in cesarean rate is not that earth-shaking. Let me reassure you that if you personally have a cesarean, the odds are quite good that you will survive it and that you will recover just fine.  Although surgery is not the ideal way to start out your life as a parent, it obviously can be done, and many of us have indeed done it.  You'd get through it if you had to. A cesarean is not the end of the world, and it certainly doesn't mean you are any less of a mother or a woman if you have one.

But if you look at it from a public health point of view, the increase in cesareans has serious implications.  On a population-wide basis, a high cesarean rate means more women and babies will die, and even more will have other complications. The only thing that's kept it in relative check up till now is the smaller family size of most women these days.  But although the more serious complications tend to happen in those with multiple repeat cesareans, even women with only one or two cesareans are still at risk. Clearly, cesareans should only be done when the benefits outweigh the risks.

Even if you don't have children, never plan to have children, or don't care about whether people have cesareans or not, your health insurance costs will go up, just to pay for the complications that accompany a high cesarean rate. 

As a matter of public health, a high cesarean rate does matter, and we all need to care about it. 



Study Abstract

Solheim KN, Esakoff TF, Little SE, Cheng YW, Sparks TN, Caughey AB.  The effect of cesarean delivery rates on the future incidence of placenta previa, placenta accreta, and maternal mortality.  J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med. 2011 Mar 7. [Epub ahead of print]

Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Sciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.

Objective. The overall annual incidence rate of caesarean delivery in the United Sates has been steadily rising since 1996, reaching 32.9% in 2009. Primary cesareans often lead to repeat cesareans, which may lead to placenta previa and placenta accreta. This study's goal was to forecast the effect of rising primary and secondary cesarean rates on annual incidence of placenta previa, placenta accreta, and maternal mortality.

Methods. A decision-analytic model was built using TreeAge Pro software to estimate the future annual incidence of placenta previa, placenta accreta, and maternal mortality using data on national birthing order trends and cesarean and vaginal birth after cesarean rates. Baseline assumptions were derived from the literature, including the likelihood of previa and accreta among women with multiple previous cesarean deliveries.

Results. If primary and secondary cesarean rates continue to rise as they have in recent years, by 2020 the cesarean delivery rate will be 56.2%, and there will be an additional 6236 placenta previas, 4504 placenta accretas, and 130 maternal deaths annually. The rise in these complications will lag behind the rise in cesareans by approximately 6 years.

Conclusions. If cesarean rates continue to increase, the annual incidence of placenta previa, placenta accreta, and maternal death will also rise substantially.

PMID: 21381881